Wednesday, January 30, 2008

Presidential Delegate Count

Now that the minor players are dropping from the race, the delegate count is getting meaningful. Go here for the running score of the presidential delegate count. At the moment, it looks like this:


Republicans (1,191 needed to win):

McCain - 97
Romney - 74
Huckabee - 29
Paul - 6
Giuliani - 2


Democrats (2,025 needed to win):

Clinton - 232
Obama - 158
Edwards - 62

If we assume 80% of Huckabee's delegates ultimately go to Romney, Guiliani's and Pauls go to McCain, and 80% of Edwards' delegates ultimately going to Obama, it looks like this:


Republicans:

McCain - 110
Romney - 98


Democrats:

Clinton - 244
Obama - 208


Might we, after the longest presidential campaign in history, end up right where we started with Clinton vs McCain?

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